As the U.S. election approaches, UBC’s experts on American politics, the election and campaign issues are available for commentary.
Canada Research Chair in Public Opinion, Elections, and Representation
- Conducted the largest study of U.S. voters (2000, 2008)
“The best polls available suggest the Republicans are likely to win the House, Obama is still most likely to win the presidency, and the Senate is up for grabs,” Johnston told UBC Reports. “So this is likely to be another inconclusive election. The political system will remain divided and neither side will get to do what it wants.”
Phil Lind Chair in U.S. Politics and Representation
- The election and possible consequences on policy
- Who’s better for Canada?
“One issue to watch is the Republicans’ effort to change voting regulations in some states, particular swing states, Quirk told UBC Reports. “If successful, this could result in voter suppression among African-Americans and lower-income voters.”
Dept. of Political Science
- How citizens choose candidates
- Impact of economy, debates and advertising on voters
“The real action in the campaign’s closing days will be the so-called ‘ground war’ in swing states,” said Owen. “Parties will focus resources on getting supporters to the polls and trying to persuade the small number of undecided voters.”
Dept. Political Science
- Race, racism and U.S. politics
“Conservative responses to Obama are mediated — sometimes unconsciously — by the legacy of racism in the U.S.,” wrote Baum in the New York Times.
Institute of Asian Research
- U.S. foreign policy, particularly in Asia
“If Romney is elected and doesn’t back down from his promise of declaring China a currency manipulator, we could be looking at a major trade war and potential financial Armageddon,” Tiberghien told UBC Reports. “If China stops buying U.S. bonds, it would trigger a U.S. deficit crisis, and a massive global financial crisis.”